Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.943619 3.397606 3.899348 4.495194 5.183840 5.955162 6.885282
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.425648 3.041591 3.780949 4.734719 5.934103 7.394613 9.311817
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.999166 2.694192 3.590713 4.833936 6.517246 8.723097 11.843476
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.652207 2.374658 3.368440 4.838820 6.966353 9.944638 14.451862
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.339043 2.039286 3.059914 4.661001 7.120985 10.776922 16.659513
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.094073 1.756055 2.772954 4.455416 7.185784 11.471259 18.764778
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.960051 1.617782 2.678580 4.522683 7.671688 12.872260 22.199568
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.819225 1.443580 2.496653 4.412673 7.841791 13.777482 24.952552
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.762948 1.402632 2.528385 4.667342 8.670491 15.917334 30.208243
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.699131 1.337209 2.505606 4.817475 9.329387 17.847935 35.394992
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.626146 1.242789 2.414673 4.823308 9.712626 19.315684 39.925150
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.537708 1.104711 2.220220 4.595836 9.598664 19.794605 42.534240
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.503018 1.071885 2.232881 4.800280 10.422261 22.339341 50.028849
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.477970 1.055389 2.276725 5.078700 11.452924 25.494068 59.454875
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.441601 1.008758 2.250046 5.199720 12.159583 28.066217 68.050552
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.401379 0.947120 2.181182 5.214147 12.625618 30.174172 75.950676
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.352637 0.858055 2.036816 5.027883 12.583983 31.086244 81.082091
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.308577 0.773196 1.889287 4.809210 12.424171 31.680843 85.506178
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.286787 0.739885 1.860797 4.884074 13.023113 34.278042 95.734683
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.257307 0.682447 1.763931 4.766454 13.097291 35.528834 102.512176
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.249934 0.681764 1.811813 5.042795 14.287112 39.965948 119.208906
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.237700 0.666084 1.817985 5.205799 15.189307 43.765387 134.787188
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.220073 0.632740 1.771535 5.212478 15.643087 46.368337 147.253907